Value bet: Manresa to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManresa to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Barbastro vs Manresa preview and prediction
The match
Barbastro host Manresa in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Barbastro are 12th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Manresa sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Barbastro's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to UD Logroñés II 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Manresa's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Osasuna II 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Manresa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Barbastro and 1.3 for Manresa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Manresa to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Barbastro 1–1 Manresa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barbastro35%fair 2.90 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Manresa40%fair 2.50 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.15Barbastro xG
1.27Manresa xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.2 – 1.3 Manresa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✗
40%
2.50
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Barbastro – last 6
LDDLDW
11 Oct
@ UD Logroñés II
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Utebo
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Náxara
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Terrassa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Girona II
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Manresa – last 6
DWLLWW
10 Oct
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Reddis
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Tudelano
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Peña Sport
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Arnedo
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Manresa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Barbastro vs Manresa?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manresa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Manresa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Manresa?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–1 Manresa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Manresa?
Barbastro vs Manresa (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
