Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✓53% · @2.05
Double chanceDeportivo Alavés II or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Gimnástica Torrelavega take on Deportivo Alavés II on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Alavés II sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Sestao River 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Deportivo Alavés II's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Gernika 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Deportivo Alavés II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for Gimnástica Torrelavega and 1.8 for Deportivo Alavés II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Safer route: Deportivo Alavés II or draw (77%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Deportivo Alavés II to win at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Alavés II or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Deportivo Alavés II53%fair 1.88 · @2.05
3.00Expected goals
1.15Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.85Deportivo Alavés II xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 – 1.8 Deportivo Alavés II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Alavés II to win✓
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Alavés II or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Alavés II ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
DLDLLW
10 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés II – last 6
DWWWWL
11 Oct
vs Gernika
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Portugalete
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Arosa
5–2
W
20 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Llanera
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Coruxo
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Deportivo Alavés II.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our pick is Deportivo Alavés II or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Alavés II 53%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
