Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Marino de Luanco take on Sestao River on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Marino de Luanco are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Sestao River sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Marino de Luanco's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Llanera 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sestao River's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Salamanca UDS 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Marino de Luanco and 1.5 for Sestao River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marino de Luanco 24%, draw 24%, Sestao River 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marino de Luanco24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Sestao River52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
2.50Expected goals
0.95Marino de Luanco xG
1.55Sestao River xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.0 – 1.5 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.87
–
Form
Marino de Luanco – last 6
LWLLLW
10 Oct
@ Llanera
2–4
L
3 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Basconia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WDWWWL
14 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs Terrassa
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sestao River 52%.
How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River?
Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
