Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Coruxo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoruxo to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceCoruxo or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Coruxo vs Compostela preview and prediction
The match
Coruxo host Compostela in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Coruxo are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Compostela sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Coruxo's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Bergantiños 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Compostela's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Real Oviedo II 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Coruxo and 0.7 for Compostela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Coruxo to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Coruxo or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Coruxo 1–0 Compostela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coruxo58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Compostela19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
2.20Expected goals
1.50Coruxo xG
0.70Compostela xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Coruxo 1.5 – 0.7 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruxo to win✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Coruxo or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coruxo / FT Coruxo✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Coruxo – last 6
LDLDWW
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Portugalete
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Compostela – last 6
LLWDDL
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Sestao River
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Portugalete
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruxo and Compostela.
Our pick is Coruxo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Coruxo vs Compostela?
On our numbers Coruxo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Compostela 19%.
How many goals will there be in Coruxo vs Compostela?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruxo vs Compostela?
Our predicted score is Coruxo 1–0 Compostela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Coruxo vs Compostela?
Coruxo vs Compostela (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
