Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Alavés II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportivo Alavés II or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Deportivo Alavés II take on Gernika on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Gernika sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Alavés II's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Portugalete 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Gernika's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Sestao River 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Alavés II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Gernika 0–0 Deportivo Alavés II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Deportivo Alavés II and 1.1 for Gernika. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Alavés II 63%, draw 25%, Gernika 12%.
Safer route: Deportivo Alavés II or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Deportivo Alavés II to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Alavés II or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Alavés II 2–1 Gernika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Alavés II63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Gernika12%fair 8.50 · @3.90
3.50Expected goals
2.41Deportivo Alavés II xG
1.09Gernika xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Alavés II 2.4 – 1.1 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Our pick is Deportivo Alavés II or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
On our numbers Deportivo Alavés II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gernika 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Alavés II 2–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
