Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHércules to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceHércules or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Hércules vs Real Jaén preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén travel to face Hércules in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 3 October (12:00 WAT). Hércules are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Real Jaén sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hércules's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Águilas 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Jaén's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Antequera 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Hércules and 0.7 for Real Jaén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hércules 60%, draw 23%, Real Jaén 17%.
Safer route: Hércules or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hércules to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Hércules 1–0 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hércules60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.30
Real Jaén17%fair 5.87 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.60Hércules xG
0.70Real Jaén xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.6 – 0.7 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Hércules or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Hércules – last 6
WWWLLL
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Europa Fc
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Alcoyano
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
LWWDWL
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Real Jaén.
Our pick is Hércules to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hércules vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Hércules have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Jaén 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–0 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Real Jaén?
Hércules vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
