Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Santo DomingoAlcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos prediction & analysis
Alcorcon to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alcorcon 2.2 – 0.7 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alcorcon are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 10% for Juventud Torremolinos.
Alcorcon have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Juventud Torremolinos have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Alcorcon come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.2 for Alcorcon, 0.7 for Juventud Torremolinos). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Alcorcon have won 0, Juventud Torremolinos have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Alcorcon to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.20 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alcorcon to win ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Double chance | Alcorcon or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Alcorcon ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.43 | – |
Form
Alcorcon – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Real Madrid II | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Gimnastic | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Antequera | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Europa Fc | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Águilas | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Aug | @ Unionistas de Salamanca | 0–1 | L |
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Algeciras | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Hércules | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Zaragoza | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Real Madrid II | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Atlético Madrid II | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Jul | @ Sevilla | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 8 Mar 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos v Alcorcon | 1–0 |
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Alcorcon to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Juventud Torremolinos 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Alcorcon vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.