Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal CartagonovaFC Cartagena vs Águilas prediction & analysis
FC Cartagena to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Cartagena 1.3 – 0.6 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Cartagena hold the edge on home soil with a 55% chance of winning, against 18% for Águilas, and a draw (27%) is a real possibility.
FC Cartagena have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Águilas have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for FC Cartagena, 0.6 for Águilas). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%).
Our pick is FC Cartagena to win at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Cartagena to win ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | FC Cartagena or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Cartagena / FT FC Cartagena ✓ | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.08 | – |
Form
FC Cartagena – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Zaragoza | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Rayo Majadahonda | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Gimnastic | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Algeciras | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Elche II | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | vs Orihuela | 3–0 | W |
Águilas – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Hércules | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Algeciras | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Real Madrid II | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Sant Andreu | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Alcorcon | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Lorca Deportiva | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cartagena and Águilas.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cartagena vs Águilas?
Our pick is FC Cartagena to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Águilas?
On our numbers FC Cartagena have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Águilas 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cartagena vs Águilas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Cartagena vs Águilas?
FC Cartagena vs Águilas (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.