Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Jaén to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Antequera vs Real Jaén preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén travel to face Antequera in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 27 September (17:15 WAT). Antequera are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Real Jaén sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Antequera's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Villarreal II 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real Jaén's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Ibiza 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Antequera and 1.5 for Real Jaén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antequera 36%, draw 25%, Real Jaén 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Real Jaén to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Antequera 1–1 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antequera36%fair 2.77 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Real Jaén38%fair 2.60 · @3.25
2.88Expected goals
1.41Antequera xG
1.47Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Antequera 1.4 – 1.5 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✗
38%
2.60
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.72
–
Form
Antequera – last 6
DDLWLW
19 Sep
@ Villarreal II
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Zaragoza
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Ibiza
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–3
L
17 Apr
@ Real Murcia
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Jaén – last 6
WWDWLL
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Cordoba
1–2
L
31 May
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antequera and Real Jaén.
What is the prediction for Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Antequera vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Antequera have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Jaén 38%.
How many goals will there be in Antequera vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Antequera 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Antequera vs Real Jaén?
Antequera vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
