Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · PinillaTeruel vs Huesca prediction & analysis
Huesca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Huesca to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Teruel 0.5 – 1.4 Huesca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Huesca travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 14% for Teruel.
Teruel have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Huesca have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Huesca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.5 for Teruel, 1.4 for Huesca). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (21%), 0–0 (15%), 0–2 (15%).
Our pick is Huesca or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Huesca to win at 1.91 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Huesca to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Huesca or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Huesca / FT Huesca ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 21% | 4.72 | – |
Form
Teruel – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Rayo Majadahonda | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Real Jaén | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Real Murcia | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Real Madrid II | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | @ Valencia U21 | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Castellón II | 0–0 | D |
Huesca – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Atlético Madrid II | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Villarreal II | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Real Jaén | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Sant Andreu | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Barbastro | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Tardienta | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Huesca.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Teruel vs Huesca?
Our pick is Huesca or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Teruel vs Huesca?
On our numbers Teruel have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Huesca 60%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Huesca?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Teruel vs Huesca?
Teruel vs Huesca (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.