Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIbiza to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceIbiza or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda preview and prediction
The match
Ibiza host Rayo Majadahonda in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses. Ibiza are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Rayo Majadahonda sit 19th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ibiza's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Antequera 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Villarreal II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rayo Majadahonda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Ibiza and 1.3 for Rayo Majadahonda. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ibiza 2–1 Rayo Majadahonda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ibiza63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Rayo Majadahonda15%fair 6.64 · @4.80
4.00Expected goals
2.65Ibiza xG
1.35Rayo Majadahonda xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ibiza 2.7 – 1.3 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win✓
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Ibiza or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Ibiza ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.52
–
Form
Ibiza – last 6
LWLWDL
30 Aug
@ Antequera
2–3
L
14 Aug
vs Peña Deportiva
5–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sevilla Atletico
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Eldense
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
LWDWDW
29 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Alcorcon
1–1
D
3 May
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Elche II
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Majadahonda 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 2–1 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Ibiza vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
