Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sant Andreu to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSant Andreu to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceSant Andreu or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Sant Andreu vs Águilas preview and prediction
The match
Sant Andreu host Águilas in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT). Sant Andreu are 14th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Águilas sit 17th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sant Andreu's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Huesca 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Águilas's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Alcorcon 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águilas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sant Andreu and 0.7 for Águilas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sant Andreu 64%, draw 22%, Águilas 14%.
Safer route: Sant Andreu or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Sant Andreu to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sant Andreu or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sant Andreu 1–0 Águilas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sant Andreu64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Águilas14%fair 7.15 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.80Sant Andreu xG
0.70Águilas xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sant Andreu 1.8 – 0.7 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sant Andreu to win✓
64%
1.57
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sant Andreu or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Sant Andreu ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sant Andreu / FT Sant Andreu✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Sant Andreu – last 6
LWDDLL
29 Aug
@ Huesca
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Manresa
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Olot
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Espanyol II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Barbastro
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Águilas – last 6
DWDWWL
30 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
24 May
vs Poblense
0–0
D
17 May
vs Utebo
2–1
W
3 May
vs Almería II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Estepona
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sant Andreu and Águilas.
What is the prediction for Sant Andreu vs Águilas?
Our pick is Sant Andreu or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sant Andreu vs Águilas?
On our numbers Sant Andreu have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Águilas 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sant Andreu vs Águilas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sant Andreu vs Águilas?
Our predicted score is Sant Andreu 1–0 Águilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sant Andreu vs Águilas?
Sant Andreu vs Águilas (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
