Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal CartagonovaFC Cartagena vs Gimnastic prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Gimnastic to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Cartagena 1.6 – 1.4 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Cartagena hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Gimnastic.
FC Cartagena have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Gimnastic have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. FC Cartagena come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for FC Cartagena, 1.4 for Gimnastic). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Gimnastic to win at 3.40 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Cartagena to win ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Cartagena / FT FC Cartagena ✗ | 26% | 3.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.15 | – |
Form
FC Cartagena – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Algeciras | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Elche II | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | vs Orihuela | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Johor Darul Takzim FC | 0–2 | L |
| 8 May | vs Alcorcon | 2–1 | W |
| 1 May | @ Algeciras | 2–2 | D |
Gimnastic – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Zaragoza | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Espanyol II | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Aug | vs Huesca | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Olot | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs FC Andorra | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cartagena and Gimnastic.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers FC Cartagena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimnastic 33%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.