Value bet: Zaragoza to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZaragoza to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Gimnastic vs Zaragoza preview and prediction
The match
Gimnastic host Zaragoza in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona. Gimnastic are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Zaragoza sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Gimnastic's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Espanyol II 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Zaragoza's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Numancia 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Zaragoza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Gimnastic and 1.4 for Zaragoza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Zaragoza to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gimnastic 1–1 Zaragoza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnastic33%fair 3.06 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Zaragoza45%fair 2.23 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.14Gimnastic xG
1.39Zaragoza xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.1 – 1.4 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zaragoza to win✗
45%
2.23
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaragoza / FT Zaragoza✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.00
–
Form
Gimnastic – last 6
LDDDLL
22 Aug
@ Espanyol II
0–3
L
13 Aug
vs Huesca
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Girona
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Olot
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs FC Andorra
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Marbella
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zaragoza – last 6
LWWWWL
22 Aug
@ Numancia
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Athletic Club
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Villarreal II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Real Sociedad II
2–1
W
6 Aug
vs FC Andorra
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnastic and Zaragoza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zaragoza 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
Gimnastic vs Zaragoza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
