Value bet: Atlético Madrid II to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Madrid II to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos preview and prediction
The match
Juventud Torremolinos travel to face Atlético Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 30 August (18:15 WAT). Atlético Madrid II are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Juventud Torremolinos sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Madrid II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Mirandes 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Juventud Torremolinos's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Sevilla 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Juventud Torremolinos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Juventud Torremolinos 3–1 Atlético Madrid II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Atlético Madrid II and 1.0 for Juventud Torremolinos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Madrid II 56%, draw 20%, Juventud Torremolinos 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Atlético Madrid II to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Madrid II56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Juventud Torremolinos24%fair 4.25 · @3.75
2.64Expected goals
1.68Atlético Madrid II xG
0.96Juventud Torremolinos xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.7 – 1.0 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juventud Torremolinos 24%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
