Value bet: Zamora to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMirandes to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Mirandes vs Zamora preview and prediction
The match
Zamora travel to Estadio Municipal de Anduva in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 10 October (20:00 WAT) to face Mirandes. Mirandes are 5th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Zamora sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mirandes's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Ponferradina 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zamora's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat CD Coria 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Mirandes and 1.1 for Zamora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mirandes 45%, draw 22%, Zamora 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Zamora to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Mirandes 1–1 Zamora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirandes45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Zamora33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.37Mirandes xG
1.13Zamora xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.4 – 1.1 Zamora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✗
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Mirandes – last 6
LWDWWL
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zamora – last 6
WWLWLD
4 Oct
vs CD Coria
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lugo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Zamora.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Mirandes vs Zamora?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zamora 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Zamora?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Zamora?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–1 Zamora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Zamora?
Mirandes vs Zamora (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
