Value bet: Cacereño to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCacereño to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo preview and prediction
The match
Arenas Getxo travel to Estadio Principe Felipe in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 20 September (17:45 WAT) to face Cacereño. Cacereño are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Arenas Getxo sit 19th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cacereño's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Recreativo Huelva 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arenas Getxo's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Zamora 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cacereño arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Cacereño and 0.9 for Arenas Getxo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Cacereño to win at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cacereño 1–1 Arenas Getxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacereño52%fair 1.93 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Arenas Getxo25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.44Cacereño xG
0.89Arenas Getxo xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Cacereño 1.4 – 0.9 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cacereño to win✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cacereño / FT Cacereño✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Cacereño – last 6
LWWDWL
16 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs UD San Pedro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Mirandes
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arenas Getxo – last 6
LLDLLD
13 Sep
vs Zamora
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Pontevedra
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Laredo
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Eibar
0–5
L
8 May
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Arenas Getxo.
What is the prediction for Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arenas Getxo 25%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 1–1 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo?
Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
