The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees UD Ourense take on UD Logroñés on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT). UD Ourense are 20th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while UD Logroñés sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UD Ourense's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Mirandes 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
UD Logroñés's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Zamora 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UD Logroñés arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for UD Ourense and 1.2 for UD Logroñés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UD Ourense 33%, draw 23%, UD Logroñés 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: UD Ourense 1–1 UD Logroñés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UD Ourense33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
UD Logroñés44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
2.25Expected goals
1.01UD Ourense xG
1.24UD Logroñés xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: UD Ourense 1.0 – 1.2 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
44%
2.27
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.65
–
Form
UD Ourense – last 6
LLWWDW
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
24 May
vs Conquense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Bergantiños
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWWLW
6 Sep
@ Zamora
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Huesca II
4–0
W
21 Aug
vs Mirandes
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Zaragoza
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Huesca
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Ourense and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers UD Ourense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Logroñés 44%.
How many goals will there be in UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is UD Ourense 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés?
UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
