Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.97
Mérida AD vs Mirandes preview and prediction
The match
Mirandes travel to Estadio Romano Jose Fouto in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 12 September (20:00 WAT) to face Mérida AD. Mérida AD are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Mirandes sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mérida AD's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Cultural Leonesa 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mirandes's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat UD Ourense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirandes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.5 for Mérida AD and 0.7 for Mirandes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 87% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mérida AD 34%, draw 23%, Mirandes 43%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Mérida AD 0–0 Mirandes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mérida AD34%fair 2.98 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Mirandes43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
1.25Expected goals
0.55Mérida AD xG
0.70Mirandes xG
49%Both score
13%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–029%
0–120%
1–016%
1–111%
0–27%
2–04%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 0.5 – 0.7 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✓
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.97
–
Form
Mérida AD – last 6
LWWLLL
6 Sep
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Leganes
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Benfica B
0–4
L
9 May
@ Barakaldo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
WLLWDW
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
0–4
L
19 Aug
@ La Calzada
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
0–0
D
13 Aug
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and Mirandes.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mirandes 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 0–0 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs Mirandes?
Mérida AD vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
