Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pontevedra to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontevedra to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.31
Real Avilés vs Pontevedra preview and prediction
The match
Pontevedra travel to Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Friday 28 August (18:00 WAT) to face Real Avilés. Real Avilés are 4th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Pontevedra sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Avilés's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Sporting Gijón II 4–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pontevedra's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Coruxo 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real Avilés arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Real Avilés and 1.3 for Pontevedra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Avilés 34%, draw 22%, Pontevedra 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pontevedra to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Avilés 1–1 Pontevedra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Avilés34%fair 2.98 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Pontevedra44%fair 2.27 · @2.55
2.38Expected goals
1.08Real Avilés xG
1.30Pontevedra xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.1 – 1.3 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontevedra to win✓
44%
2.27
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontevedra / FT Pontevedra✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.31
–
Form
Real Avilés – last 6
WWDLDD
21 Aug
vs Sporting Gijón II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Mosconia
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Ponferradina
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
LWWLLL
19 Aug
@ Coruxo
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ourense CF
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Estradense
5–0
W
1 Aug
@ Arosa
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tenerife
0–3
L
8 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pontevedra 44%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs Pontevedra?
Real Avilés vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
