Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.42Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chanceMirandes or draw ✗80% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Cacereño vs Mirandes preview and prediction
The match
Mirandes travel to Estadio Principe Felipe in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Friday 28 August (20:15 WAT) to face Cacereño. Cacereño are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Mirandes sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cacereño's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Unionistas de Salamanca 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirandes's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to UD Logroñés 0–4 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 6. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Cacereño and 1.3 for Mirandes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mirandes or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cacereño 1–1 Mirandes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacereño20%fair 5.04 · @2.70
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Mirandes23%fair 4.29 · @2.40
2.58Expected goals
1.25Cacereño xG
1.33Mirandes xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cacereño 1.3 – 1.3 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Mirandes or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Cacereño – last 6
LWWLWL
21 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Villanovense
2–0
W
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Celta de Vigo II
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Lugo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
LWDWWL
21 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
0–4
L
19 Aug
@ La Calzada
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
0–0
D
13 Aug
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Osasuna II
1–0
W
31 May
@ Leganes
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Mirandes.
Our pick is Mirandes or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cacereño vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Mirandes 23%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Mirandes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 1–1 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Mirandes?
Cacereño vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
