Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Mérida AD or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chanceMérida AD or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II preview and prediction
The match
Mérida AD host Deportivo La Coruña II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. Mérida AD are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Deportivo La Coruña II sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mérida AD's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Alcorcon 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Real Madrid II 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo La Coruña II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Mérida AD and 1.2 for Deportivo La Coruña II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mérida AD 25%, draw 57%, Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
Safer route: Mérida AD or draw (82%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mérida AD or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mérida AD 1–1 Deportivo La Coruña II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mérida AD25%fair 3.93 · @2.15
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Deportivo La Coruña II18%fair 5.60 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.37Mérida AD xG
1.20Deportivo La Coruña II xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo La Coruña II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Mérida AD or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Mérida AD – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Leganes
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Benfica B
0–4
L
9 May
@ Barakaldo
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Arenteiro
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
LWLWWW
5 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Real Ávila
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Real Valladolid II
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs UD Ourense
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Burgos Promesas
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and Deportivo La Coruña II.
What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our pick is Mérida AD or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 1–1 Deportivo La Coruña II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Mérida AD vs Deportivo La Coruña II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
