Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rayo Vallecano to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRayo Vallecano to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceRayo Vallecano or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Vallecano host Elche in the La Liga on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Elche sit 18th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Getafe 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Elche's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Villarreal 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.1 for Elche. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%.
Safer route: Rayo Vallecano or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Rayo Vallecano to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rayo Vallecano or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Vallecano62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
Elche14%fair 7.32 · @4.40
3.35Expected goals
2.29Rayo Vallecano xG
1.06Elche xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 2.3 – 1.1 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Elche 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
