Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Madrid host Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid are 3rd with 28 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Deportivo La Coruna sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Madrid's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with VfB Stuttgart 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo La Coruna's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Levante 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico Madrid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Atletico Madrid and 0.8 for Deportivo La Coruna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Madrid 69%, draw 19%, Deportivo La Coruna 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Madrid to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Madrid69%fair 1.45 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.50
Deportivo La Coruna12%fair 8.32 · @9.00
2.89Expected goals
2.13Atletico Madrid xG
0.76Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid 2.1 – 0.8 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid to win✓
69%
1.45
1.29
Double chance
Atletico Madrid or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid / FT Atletico Madrid✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Atletico Madrid – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Espanyol
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Alaves
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Real Madrid
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Osasuna
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DLLDLD
16 Oct
vs Levante
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Real Sociedad
2–3
L
2 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo La Coruna 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Metropolitano Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
