La Liga · Spain · Estadio El SadarOsasuna vs Racing Santander prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Osasuna 2.4 – 1.5 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Osasuna hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 22% for Racing Santander.
Osasuna have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.8 per game. Racing Santander have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.4 for Osasuna, 1.5 for Racing Santander). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (7%), 3–1 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Osasuna have won 1, Racing Santander have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Osasuna to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Osasuna to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time result | Osasuna ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna ✓ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.31 | – |
Form
Osasuna – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Real Betis | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Atletico Madrid | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Espanyol | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Alaves | 2–5 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Getafe | 1–0 | W |
Racing Santander – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Valencia | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Celta Vigo | 0–5 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Barcelona | 2–7 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Alaves | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Rayo Vallecano | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Elche | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Jul 2026 | Osasuna v Racing Santander | 2–0 |
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Racing Santander 22%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.