La Liga · Spain · Estadio La RosaledaMalaga vs Real Sociedad prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Malaga 1.2 – 1.5 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Sociedad shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Malaga.
Malaga have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Real Sociedad have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Real Sociedad come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 for Malaga, 1.5 for Real Sociedad). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.65.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Sociedad to win ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad ✓ | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.23 | – |
Form
Malaga – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Espanyol | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Getafe | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Villarreal | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Real Madrid | 0–4 | L |
Real Sociedad – last 6
| 15 Oct | @ Union St. Gilloise | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Deportivo La Coruna | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Valencia | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Bournemouth | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Sep | @ Elche | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Real Sociedad.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Malaga have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad 46%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
Malaga vs Real Sociedad (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.