The La Liga sees Barcelona take on Getafe on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Spotify Camp Nou. Barcelona are 1st with 33 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Getafe sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Barcelona's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sevilla 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.8 per game.
Getafe's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Malaga 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Barcelona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.8 for Barcelona and 0.7 for Getafe. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barcelona 78%, draw 17%, Getafe 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barcelona 2–1 Getafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barcelona78%fair 1.28 · @1.08
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @12.00
Getafe5%fair 19.55 · @26.00
3.50Expected goals
2.78Barcelona xG
0.72Getafe xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–011%
2–18%
1–08%
3–18%
4–08%
From our goals model: Barcelona 2.8 – 0.7 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona to win✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Double chance
Barcelona or draw✓
95%
1.05
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Barcelona ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona / FT Barcelona✓
57%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Barcelona – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
@ Sevilla
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs Racing Santander
7–2
W
13 Sep
@ Levante
4–2
W
9 Sep
vs Feyenoord
5–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valencia
5–0
W
31 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
5–2
W
4.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Getafe – last 6
WLDDLL
20 Sep
vs Malaga
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Osasuna
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ FK Partizan
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona and Getafe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Barcelona vs Getafe?
On our numbers Barcelona have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Getafe 5%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona vs Getafe?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona vs Getafe?
Our predicted score is Barcelona 2–1 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Barcelona vs Getafe?
Barcelona vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Spotify Camp Nou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
