Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Villarreal take on Deportivo La Coruna on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal are 8th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Deportivo La Coruna sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Villarreal's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Alaves 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Deportivo La Coruna's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Valencia 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Villarreal and 0.8 for Deportivo La Coruna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal 65%, draw 21%, Deportivo La Coruna 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Villarreal 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.20
Deportivo La Coruna14%fair 7.29 · @6.25
2.85Expected goals
2.03Villarreal xG
0.82Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal 2.0 – 0.8 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Villarreal – last 6
LDDWWL
28 Aug
@ Alaves
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Lens
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
WDDLWD
30 Aug
vs Valencia
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Malaga
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo La Coruna 14%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
