The La Liga sees Valencia take on Barcelona on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia are 19th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Barcelona sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valencia's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barcelona's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Barcelona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.8 for Valencia and 2.3 for Barcelona. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valencia 12%, draw 17%, Barcelona 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barcelona to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Valencia 0–2 Barcelona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valencia12%fair 8.59 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @5.80
Barcelona71%fair 1.41 · @1.29
3.17Expected goals
0.83Valencia xG
2.34Barcelona xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Valencia 0.8 – 2.3 Barcelona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona to win✓
71%
1.41
1.29
Double chance
Barcelona or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Barcelona ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona / FT Barcelona✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Valencia – last 6
LLDLDW
30 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–3
L
25 Aug
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Derby
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barcelona – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
5–2
W
27 Aug
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Elche
5–0
W
19 Aug
vs Al Ahly
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ FC Basel 1893
5–2
W
8 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Barcelona.
Our pick is Barcelona to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Valencia vs Barcelona?
On our numbers Valencia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Barcelona 71%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Barcelona?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Barcelona?
Our predicted score is Valencia 0–2 Barcelona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Barcelona?
Valencia vs Barcelona (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
