Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Levante to win @ 3.00 – our chance 45% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevante to win ✗45% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Malaga vs Levante preview and prediction
The match
Malaga host Levante in the La Liga on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Rosaleda. Malaga are 20th with 5 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Levante sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Malaga's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Real Madrid 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Levante's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Real Betis 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Levante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Malaga and 1.6 for Levante. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malaga 33%, draw 22%, Levante 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Levante to win at 3.00 – 45% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Malaga 1–1 Levante. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malaga33%fair 3.03 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
Levante45%fair 2.24 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.37Malaga xG
1.63Levante xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Malaga 1.4 – 1.6 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levante to win✗
45%
2.24
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levante / FT Levante✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
Malaga – last 6
LDLDLW
30 Aug
@ Real Madrid
0–4
L
24 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Fulham
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Levante – last 6
WDLWLW
29 Aug
vs Real Betis
5–2
W
24 Aug
@ Osasuna
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Espanyol
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Castellón
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Villarreal
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Albacete
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Levante.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Malaga vs Levante?
On our numbers Malaga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Levante 45%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Levante?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Levante?
Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Malaga vs Levante?
Malaga vs Levante (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
