Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceOviedo or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Oviedo vs Las Palmas preview and prediction
The match
Las Palmas travel to Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in the Segunda División on Monday 2 November (16:15 WAT) to face Oviedo. Oviedo are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Las Palmas sit 10th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oviedo's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Numancia 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Las Palmas's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with RSD Alcalá 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Oviedo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Oviedo and 0.8 for Las Palmas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oviedo 62%, draw 23%, Las Palmas 15%.
Safer route: Oviedo or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Oviedo to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oviedo or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Oviedo 1–0 Las Palmas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oviedo62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Las Palmas15%fair 6.47 · @4.33
2.73Expected goals
1.89Oviedo xG
0.84Las Palmas xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.9 – 0.8 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Oviedo or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Oviedo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Oviedo – last 6
DDWWLW
29 Oct
@ Numancia
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Almeria
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
12 Oct
vs Eibar
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Eldense
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
DWLLDL
27 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Castellón
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Mallorca
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Eibar
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Oviedo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Las Palmas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Oviedo vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
