Segunda División · Spain · Estadi Mallorca Son MoixMallorca vs Cadiz prediction & analysis
Mallorca to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.7 – 0.5 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mallorca are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Cadiz.
Mallorca have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Cadiz have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.7 for Mallorca, 0.5 for Cadiz). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Mallorca to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mallorca to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Mallorca or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.09 | – |
Form
Mallorca – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Eibar | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Las Palmas | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Girona | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Almeria | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
Cadiz – last 6
| 29 Oct | @ Xerez | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs AD Ceuta FC | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Granada CF | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Sporting Gijon | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Leganes | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Cadiz.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Cadiz?
Our pick is Mallorca to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mallorca vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cadiz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Mallorca vs Cadiz?
Mallorca vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.