Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCastellón to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceCastellón or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.18
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Gijon travel to Estadio Municipal de Castalia in the Segunda División on Sunday 25 October (18:30 WAT) to face Castellón. Castellón are 2nd with 27 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Castellón's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Las Palmas 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Gijon's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Albacete 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Castellón and 0.5 for Sporting Gijon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Castellón to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Castellón 1–0 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellón65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
Sporting Gijon14%fair 7.37 · @5.50
2.10Expected goals
1.58Castellón xG
0.52Sporting Gijon xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.6 – 0.5 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Double chance
Castellón or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.18
–
Form
Castellón – last 6
WLDWWW
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Leganes
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Tenerife
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Girona
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WWWLWL
17 Oct
vs Albacete
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Celta de Vigo II
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Castellón to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Castellón have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Gijon 14%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Castellón 1–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
