Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCadiz to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCadiz or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Cadiz take on AD Ceuta FC on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Nuevo Mirandilla. Cadiz are 20th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cadiz's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Granada CF 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Oviedo 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 July 2026, finished Cadiz 1–3 AD Ceuta FC. Across their last 2 meetings Cadiz have won 0, AD Ceuta FC 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Cadiz and 0.9 for AD Ceuta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cadiz 60%, draw 25%, AD Ceuta FC 15%.
Safer route: Cadiz or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cadiz to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cadiz or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cadiz 1–0 AD Ceuta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cadiz60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
AD Ceuta FC15%fair 6.84 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.89Cadiz xG
0.86AD Ceuta FC xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.9 – 0.9 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cadiz or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AD Ceuta FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Mirandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
