Segunda División · Spain · Nova Creu AltaSabadell vs Tenerife prediction & analysis
Sabadell to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.5 – 0.7 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sabadell hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for Tenerife.
Sabadell have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tenerife have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.5 for Sabadell, 0.7 for Tenerife). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (12%).
Our pick is Sabadell to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sabadell to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.35 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell ✗ | 32% | 3.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.22 | – |
Form
Sabadell – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Burgos | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ AD Ceuta FC | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Andorra | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Celta de Vigo II | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Oviedo | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
Tenerife – last 6
| 19 Oct | @ Celta de Vigo II | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | @ Cordoba | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Castellón | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Leganes | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Tenerife.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sabadell vs Tenerife?
Our pick is Sabadell to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tenerife 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Sabadell vs Tenerife?
Sabadell vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.