Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Valladolid to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValladolid to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceValladolid or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Valladolid vs Eldense preview and prediction
The match
Valladolid host Eldense in the Segunda División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Valladolid are 12th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Eldense sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Valladolid's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Albacete 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Eldense's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Cordoba 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Valladolid and 0.7 for Eldense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Valladolid to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valladolid or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valladolid 1–0 Eldense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valladolid65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Eldense14%fair 7.35 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.82Valladolid xG
0.68Eldense xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.8 – 0.7 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Valladolid or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Valladolid ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.70
–
Form
Valladolid – last 6
WDWDLW
12 Oct
vs Albacete
5–0
W
4 Oct
@ Las Palmas
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Oviedo
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Eldense – last 6
WWLLWD
10 Oct
vs Cordoba
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs Oviedo
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Burgos
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Eibar
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Sporting Gijon
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Mallorca
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Eldense.
Our pick is Valladolid or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valladolid vs Eldense?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Eldense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Eldense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Eldense?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–0 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Eldense?
Valladolid vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
