Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.82
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo preview and prediction
The match
AD Ceuta FC host Oviedo in the Segunda División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Oviedo sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Sabadell 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Oviedo's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Eibar 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oviedo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.5 for Oviedo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 33%, draw 22%, Oviedo 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Oviedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Oviedo45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
2.67Expected goals
1.20AD Ceuta FC xG
1.47Oviedo xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.2 – 1.5 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
45%
2.22
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LDWDLL
10 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Castellón
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Valladolid
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Burgos
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WLWLWD
12 Oct
vs Eibar
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Eldense
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oviedo 45%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
