Sabadell travel to face Burgos in the Segunda División on Sunday 18 October (20:00 WAT). Burgos are 3rd with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Sabadell sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Burgos's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Granada CF 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sabadell's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat AD Ceuta FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Burgos and 1.0 for Sabadell. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgos 39%, draw 26%, Sabadell 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burgos 1–1 Sabadell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgos39%fair 2.57 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.80
Sabadell35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
2.17Expected goals
1.12Burgos xG
1.05Sabadell xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.1 – 1.0 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✓
39%
2.57
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.79
–
Form
Burgos – last 6
LLWWWD
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Eldense
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Las Palmas
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 6
WDDWLW
10 Oct
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Andorra
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Oviedo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Sabadell.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Burgos vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Burgos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sabadell 35%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Sabadell?
Burgos vs Sabadell (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
