Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Real Sociedad II take on Almeria on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta. Real Sociedad II are 17th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Almeria sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Celta de Vigo II 1–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Almeria's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Leganes 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almeria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Almeria 5–1 Real Sociedad II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Real Sociedad II and 2.0 for Almeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Sociedad II 15%, draw 21%, Almeria 64%.
Safer route: Almeria or draw (85%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Almeria to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almeria or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Sociedad II15%fair 6.65 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Almeria64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
2.78Expected goals
0.82Real Sociedad II xG
1.96Almeria xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 0.8 – 2.0 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our pick is Almeria or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almeria 64%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
