Segunda División · SpainSporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction & analysis
Sporting Gijon or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.5 – 0.8 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sporting Gijon hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 21% for Albacete.
Sporting Gijon have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Albacete have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Sporting Gijon come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 for Sporting Gijon, 0.8 for Albacete). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sporting Gijon have won 0, Albacete have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Sporting Gijon or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Sporting Gijon to win at 1.91 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sporting Gijon to win ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sporting Gijon or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon ✓ | 33% | 3.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.68 | – |
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Cadiz | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Celta de Vigo II | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Oviedo | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ FC Andorra | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Eldense | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Girona | 0–2 | L |
Albacete – last 6
| 12 Oct | @ Valladolid | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Eibar | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Girona | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Granada CF | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Castellón | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Albacete v Sporting Gijon | 1–1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albacete 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.