Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Tenerife vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Tenerife take on Almeria on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Tenerife are 14th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Almeria sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tenerife's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Eibar 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Almeria's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Eldense 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Tenerife and 1.9 for Almeria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tenerife 32%, draw 24%, Almeria 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tenerife 1–1 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tenerife32%fair 3.16 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Almeria45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
3.50Expected goals
1.59Tenerife xG
1.91Almeria xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.6 – 1.9 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✗
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Almeria ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Tenerife – last 6
WDWDWL
16 Aug
@ Eibar
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Marino
6–0
W
22 Jul
vs Getafe
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
WWWLLL
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
4 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Malaga
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Almeria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tenerife vs Almeria?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Almeria 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Almeria?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Almeria?
Tenerife vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
