Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal CastaliaCastellón vs Sabadell prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Castellón 0.5 – 0.0 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Castellón are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 21% for Sabadell.
Castellón have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Sabadell have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 0.5 goals (0.5 for Castellón, 0.0 for Sabadell). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 99% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (61%), 1–0 (29%), 2–0 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Castellón have won 1, Sabadell have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Castellón to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 99% | 1.01 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 100% | 1.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 29% | 3.43 | – |
Form
Castellón – last 6
| 14 Aug | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Levante | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Hércules | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jul | @ Alaves | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Jul | @ Girona | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Valencia | 2–1 | W |
Sabadell – last 6
| 17 Aug | @ Sporting Gijon | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Olot | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Girona | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ FC Andorra | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Espanyol | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ Castellón | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Castellón v Sabadell | 2–0 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellón vs Sabadell?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Castellón vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Castellón have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sabadell 21%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Sabadell?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is Castellón vs Sabadell?
Castellón vs Sabadell (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.