Value bet: Burgos to win @ 2.34 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurgos to win ✓46% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Burgos vs Cordoba preview and prediction
The match
Cordoba travel to Municipal El Plantio in the Segunda División on Sunday 16 August (18:00 WAT) to face Burgos. Burgos are 3rd with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Cordoba sit 11th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Burgos's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Cultural Leonesa 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cordoba's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Almeria 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Burgos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Burgos 4–0 Cordoba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Burgos and 1.1 for Cordoba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgos 46%, draw 22%, Cordoba 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Burgos to win at 2.34 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Burgos 1–1 Cordoba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgos46%fair 2.19 · @2.34
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Cordoba32%fair 3.11 · @3.05
2.43Expected goals
1.35Burgos xG
1.07Cordoba xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.4 – 1.1 Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Burgos vs Cordoba?
On our numbers Burgos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cordoba 32%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Cordoba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Cordoba?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Cordoba?
Burgos vs Cordoba (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal El Plantio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
