Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de IpuruaEibar vs Tenerife prediction & analysis
Eibar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Eibar 1.6 – 0.7 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Eibar hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Tenerife.
Eibar have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tenerife have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Eibar, 0.7 for Tenerife). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Eibar or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Eibar to win at 1.90 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Eibar to win ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Eibar or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✗ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.65 | – |
Form
Eibar – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Real Unión | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Arenas Getxo | 5–0 | W |
| 29 Jul | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Athletic Club | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ Alaves | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | @ Castellón | 1–2 | L |
Tenerife – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Leganes | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Aug | vs Tamaraceite | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Cadiz | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Marino | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Jul | vs Getafe | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Tenerife II | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and Tenerife.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eibar vs Tenerife?
Our pick is Eibar or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Eibar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tenerife 17%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Eibar vs Tenerife?
Eibar vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.