Segunda División · Spain · Estadi MontiliviGirona vs Leganes prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Girona 1.8 – 0.8 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Girona are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 17% for Leganes.
Girona have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Leganes have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Leganes come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Girona, 0.8 for Leganes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Girona to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.64 |
| Double chance | Girona or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Girona ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Girona / FT Girona ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.23 | – |
Form
Girona – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Gimnastic | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Sabadell | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Arsenal | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Jul | vs Castellón | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Alaves | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jul | @ Olot | 3–1 | W |
Leganes – last 6
| 8 Aug | vs Tenerife | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Mérida AD | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Aug | vs Al-Rayyan SC | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Swansea | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | @ Real Madrid | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Jul | @ Penafiel | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Leganes.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Girona vs Leganes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Girona vs Leganes?
On our numbers Girona have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leganes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Leganes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Girona vs Leganes?
Girona vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.