Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Paraguay vs France preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Paraguay take on France on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Form guide
Paraguay's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Germany 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
France's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sweden 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.7 for Paraguay and 2.3 for France. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paraguay 7%, draw 21%, France 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Paraguay 0–2 France. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paraguay7%fair 13.35 · @14.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @6.80
France72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
2.99Expected goals
0.69Paraguay xG
2.30France xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Paraguay 0.7 – 2.3 France expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
France or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Paraguay – last 6
DDWLWL
29 Jun
@ Germany
1–1
D
26 Jun
vs Australia
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Türkiye
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
France – last 6
WWWWWL
30 Jun
vs Sweden
3–0
W
26 Jun
@ Norway
4–1
W
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay and France.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paraguay vs France?
On our numbers Paraguay have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 21% and France 72%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay vs France?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs France?
Our predicted score is Paraguay 0–2 France, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paraguay vs France?
Paraguay vs France (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3