Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwit to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceSwit or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Swit vs Troszyn preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 1 sees Swit take on Troszyn on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Swit are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Troszyn sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Swit's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Jagiellonia II 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Troszyn's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Ząbkovia Ząbki 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Swit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Swit and 1.0 for Troszyn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swit 67%, draw 18%, Troszyn 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Swit to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Swit 2–0 Troszyn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swit67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.33
Troszyn14%fair 6.92 · @4.50
3.34Expected goals
2.34Swit xG
1.00Troszyn xG
49%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Swit 2.3 – 1.0 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swit to win✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Double chance
Swit or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Swit ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swit / FT Swit✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Swit – last 6
WLWWWL
18 Oct
@ Jagiellonia II
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs ŁKS Łódź II
2–7
L
3 Oct
@ Mławianka Mława
4–2
W
25 Sep
vs Łomża
4–0
W
18 Sep
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Weszlo
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Troszyn – last 6
DWLDLD
18 Oct
vs Ząbkovia Ząbki
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Jagiellonia II
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Wisła Płock II
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź II
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Mławianka Mława
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Łomża
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swit and Troszyn.
Our pick is Swit to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Swit vs Troszyn?
On our numbers Swit have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Troszyn 14%.
How many goals will there be in Swit vs Troszyn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swit vs Troszyn?
Our predicted score is Swit 2–0 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Swit vs Troszyn?
Swit vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
