Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Noteć Czarnków to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNoteć Czarnków to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń preview and prediction
The match
Noteć Czarnków host Elana Toruń in the III Liga Group 2 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Noteć Czarnków are 9th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Elana Toruń sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Noteć Czarnków's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Kalisz 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Elana Toruń's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Unia Swarzędz 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Noteć Czarnków arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Elana Toruń 0–3 Noteć Czarnków.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.1 for Elana Toruń. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Noteć Czarnków to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Noteć Czarnków 2–1 Elana Toruń. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Noteć Czarnków62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.80
Elana Toruń20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
3.32Expected goals
2.19Noteć Czarnków xG
1.14Elana Toruń xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Noteć Czarnków 2.2 – 1.1 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Our pick is Noteć Czarnków to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
On our numbers Noteć Czarnków have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elana Toruń 20%.
How many goals will there be in Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Our predicted score is Noteć Czarnków 2–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
