Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Flota Świnoujście to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlota Świnoujście to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście preview and prediction
The match
Chemik Bydgoszcz host Flota Świnoujście in the III Liga Group 2 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Flota Świnoujście sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chemik Bydgoszcz's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Luzino 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Flota Świnoujście's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Victoria Września 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Chemik Bydgoszcz and 1.9 for Flota Świnoujście. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Flota Świnoujście to win at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–1 Flota Świnoujście. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chemik Bydgoszcz26%fair 3.90 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.25
Flota Świnoujście53%fair 1.87 · @2.15
3.14Expected goals
1.24Chemik Bydgoszcz xG
1.90Flota Świnoujście xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 – 1.9 Flota Świnoujście expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flota Świnoujście to win✗
53%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Flota Świnoujście ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flota Świnoujście / FT Flota Świnoujście✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
LLDWWW
19 Aug
@ Luzino
1–3
L
14 Aug
vs Polonia Środa
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Stomil Olsztyn
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Wikielec
7–0
W
11 Jul
@ Wisła Płock II
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flota Świnoujście – last 6
WWWLDL
19 Aug
vs Victoria Września
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Kotwica Kórnik
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Kalisz
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Warta Gorzów
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Flota Świnoujście.
What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flota Świnoujście 53%.
How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our predicted score is Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–1 Flota Świnoujście, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
