Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Środa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Lipno Stęszew take on Polonia Środa on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Lipno Stęszew are 16th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Polonia Środa sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lipno Stęszew's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Lech Poznań II 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Polonia Środa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Stargard Szczeciński 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Polonia Środa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Lipno Stęszew 1–1 Polonia Środa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Lipno Stęszew and 2.3 for Polonia Środa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Środa to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Polonia Środa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lipno Stęszew14%fair 7.27 · @4.20
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.10
Polonia Środa68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
3.18Expected goals
0.91Lipno Stęszew xG
2.27Polonia Środa xG
51%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 0.9 – 2.3 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?
Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?
On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Polonia Środa 68%.
How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?
Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?
Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
